“Trump Thump” – Mortgage Rates Jump 0.500% or More Post Election
The election is now over and the dust has settled. As painful as it might be to accept, a trend described by others as the “Trump Thump” means we may now have to get used to 30-year fixed conforming loan rates at or above 4.0%.
Prior to the election, pundits had clearly agreed on the idea that the markets “built in” the prospect of a Clinton victory, and – in the unlikely event that Trump won – this surprise victory would mean an improvement in the bond market because of the uncertainty Trump would bring to the table. Well, so much for that idea.
Economic experts maintain that Trump’s economic policies will boost spending and business, as well as bring inflation (all of which leads to lower bond prices and higher mortgage rates). Interesting to me how quickly everything turned in the direction. Was there not enough time spent analyzing the impact of a Trump victory? Did this catch the markets unprepared?According to a recent article by Money writer, Taylor Tepper, markets indicate there’s a 75% chance that the Fed raises short-term rates modestly when policy makers meet in mid-December. Here’s a more in-depth analysis on what President-elect Trump means for interest rates in Tepper’s article: President Trump Interest Rates Federal Reserve. CNBC’s Diana Olick weighs in on the mortgage rate crisis: watch video. 10-year treasury yields have also spiked in the days since Trump’s election, and something to keep in mind with that is: Don’t panic. This sudden rise isn’t likely to continue, at least, not because of the Trump presidency. “Rates tend to move very sharply in short periods of time and very little in prolonged periods of time,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate. “It’s not something that I think continues.” So, my advice to those who are anxious about mortgage rates, know that this is a cycle… and as far as rates are concerned, nothing is on the horizon that would suggest waiting for an improvement in rates. Either way, expect volatility and a continuing upward trend in rates.
It’s a very competitive real estate market and legitimately sellers are choosing which offer to accept based on the strength of the buyer. Often electing to take a substantial discount in price for a cash offer and a quick closing sellers may unnecessarily leave money on the table. Well-qualified borrowers can miss out on their dream home by not being prepared. The key is getting a solid pre approval. For many years at Signet Mortgage, we have only issued pre approval letters when we have verified a clients income, asset and credit affirmation, as well as obtain automated underwriting from either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. In this market, that may not be good enough.
Not all lenders will allow the processing of a loan without identifying a specific property, this is understandable because not all transactions go through and it is an investment on their part to fully underwrite the loan that may not go through. Signet, operating as a mortgage broker, has access to 10 lenders that will allow a full underwrite of a “to-be-determined” property. We have a full range of investor options as well as competitive lender choices.
This approach is an upfront investment by the buyer that can read significant rewards. With a full underwrite, the pre approval letter now would only have contingency on the identification of a property and no loan contingency with respect to the client putting their offer on par with a cash offer.
The idea that a pre approval from a direct lender is any stronger is hogwash. The quality of the pre approval letter is based on the work done on the loan file to support the pre approval and the experience and integrity of the loan officer – period.
Again, as a mortgage broker, Signet has access to just under 20 lenders which assures clients that I can find a successful solution to a buyers unique circumstances. Make sure to leave the time to get a full pre approval before making an offer on your new home! That small investment will help your offer to be successful.
As a CPA and Real Estate Broker, I approach real estate financing with the care and professionalism that you deserve for one of the largest transactions you will do in a lifetime. If this sounds like someone you would like to work with to get solidly pre approved for your next home, please give me a call. My team and I will do the work to make sure that your offer is the one the seller loves!
These solicitations to get a copy of your recent deed after closing ARE BOGUS!
If you have ever closed a real estate transaction or refinance – then you have likely received solicitations from “title recording services” or “local property transfer services” looking very official because they contain details of your recent transaction. These solicitations are bogus and simply a money grab for companies set up to sell you a copy of your grant deed that the county is going to send you anyhow, or ask you to complete a declaration of Homestead which you can do with the county for free. This is the old-fashioned form of phishing – these companies are selling you “services” that you do not need. While these companies may be technically compliant because the fine print disclaimer indicates they are “not a governmental agency and do indicate you can get a copy of your deed or record from the county recorder’s office” – it still stinks and is very deceptive. The documents are cleverly designed to create urgency and be something that you need to take care of right away simply because they arrived shortly after your transaction and always contain a deadline for response. They even go so far as to put a warning on the envelope indicating “$2000 fine and five years imprisonment or both for a person interfering with the delivery of this letter” … Well that is standard Postal Service regulation!